By 2013, India will be 3rd in number of Internet users, China to lead; Forrester
July 27, 2009
By: MM Network
Forrester Research, the technology and market research firm observing the emerging and easy adoption of the internet era predicts that the number of internet users worldwide is expected to touch 2.2 billion by 2013 and India is projected to have the third largest online population during the same time.
The research study that Forrester undertook is titled 'Global Online Population Forecast, 2008 to 2013', noted that emerging markets like India would see a growth of 10% to 20% by 2013.
It states, “The number of people online around the world will grow more than 45% to 2.2 billion users by 2013 and Asia will continue to be the biggest Internet growth engine. India will be the third largest internet user base by 2013 with China and the US taking the first two spots, respectively.” Globally, there were about 1.5 billion Internet users in the year 2008.
Brazil is currently the fourth largest market in the world in terms of number of internet users, but despite a 7% annual growth rate over the next five years, it will drop to the No. 5 position in 2010, when it is surpassed by India.
The countries of the Middle East and Africa currently represent just 8 %of the global online population but over the next five years will see some of the highest growth rates in the world, around 13 per cent. Egypt, Iran, and Nigeria are among the countries with the highest growth rates in the region.
Countries with the most internet users in 2008 were US, China, Japan, Brazil and Germany. Also, the countries with the most internet users in 2013 would be China, US, India, Japan and Brazil.
Other forecasts in Forrester’s report include:
- China's online population will rise by nearly 11% each year over the next half decade.
- India, Indonesia, Pakistan, and the Philippines will have substantial online growth rates.
- Japan and South Korea will rise by less than 2% each year.
- Growth rates in the US, Western Europe, and the major industrialized nations in Asia Pacific such as Australia, Japan, and South Korea will slow to between 1% and 3%.
- Online penetration in the US is set to rise from 73 % to 82 % over the next five years
- Internet usage in Russia and Turkey will grow by almost 8% annually
- Growth in Spain's online population will increase by an average of more than 5% each year.